Sunday, November 25, 2018

Murder in the World and the US - Part One

                               


Introduction:

November, 2018: Another couple of  mass shootings. Nothing out of the ordinary. We have become inured to this. We hardly  react any more. A short while ago it was a synagogue in Pittsburgh, then a nightclub in Southern California, next week it’ll be a school, or a shopping mall, or some other public place. The killing rages on, a dozen innocent people mowed down at a time, often more than that.

The solution is obvious, and before our eyes. It has been so for years. All you have to do is look at dozens of  comparable countries, follow their example, and voila; problem solved. Thousands of American lives saved every year.

In a separate post - Mass Murder Ad Nauseam - I will once again go over the main aspects of this issue. But for now, I am tired of repeating the same refrain.

Instead, today I want to give you some facts  about the distribution of murder  in the world at this time.  I have always been a “numbers guy.” I hope that you find some of what follows as interesting as I do. I taught criminology for decades. Today, one  of my sources is: List of Countries by Intentional Homicides.

My numbers are based on the United Nations’ definition of intentional  homicide. So these figures include murder and  manslaughter, but not acts of war and accidents. I focus  on two questions:
A. The amount and distribution of murder around the world.
B. How the US compares internationally.

Part One of this article presents data on and analysis of the distribution of murders across selected countries, and  the concentration of murders among a minority of the world’s nations. In Part Two, I  will discuss the worldwide distribution of murder, and compare the US with other parts of the world.

1. Twenty Selected Countries Ranked by Homicide Rates, and by Absolute Numbers of Homicides

Table 1.  Twenty  Selected Countries Ranked by Annual Rates of Intentional Homicides

Rank
Country
Rate - per 100,000, per  year
total  number
1
 El Salvador
82.84
5,257
2
Honduras
56.52
5,150
3
Venezuela
56.33
17,778
5
 Jamaica
47.01
1,354
12
Brazil
29.53
61,283
20
Mexico
19,26
24,559
41
Russia
10.82
15,561
87
United  States
5,35
17,250
119
India
3.22
42,678
154
Canada
1.68
611
169
France
1.23
792
170
United Kingdom
1.20
791
184
Germany
0.88
716
190
Netherlands
0.73
123
195
Italy
0.67
400
200
China
0.62
8,634
203
Norway
0.51
27
212
Iceland
0.30
1
213
Japan
0.28
362
216
Monaco
0
0

Table 1 reveals that  El Salvador is  the most violent country on earth. There,  83 people out of every 100,000 are murdered each year. This rate   is sixteen times higher  than that of  the US. We also see than Honduras is the second most violent country in the world, with a murder rate that is eleven times higher than that of the US.  And you wonder why caravans of thousands of people  flee from  such countries and desperately seek asylum in the US?

Out of the world’s 219 countries, the US is the 87th most violent country, as measured by homicide rates. In other words, 86 countries are more violent, and 132 less so.

Table 2.  Twenty  Selected Countries Ranked by Total Annual Numbers of Intentional Homicides

Rank
Country
Total number
Rate - per 100,000
1
Brazil
61,283
29.53                    
2
India
42,678
3.22                        
3
Mexico
24,558
19.26                        
6
Venezuela
17,778
56.33             
7
United States
17,250
5.35                              
8
Russia
15,561
10.82                          
12
China
8,634
0.62                            
15
El Salvador
5,257
82.84              
16
Honduras
5,150
56.52              
39
Jamaica
1,354
47.01                 
57
France
792
1.23                    
58
United Kingdom
791
1.20           
60
Germany
716
0.88                 
71
Canada
611
1.68                
86
Italy
400
0.67                  
90
Japan
362
0.28              
124
Netherlands
123
0.73                
167
Norway
27
0.51            
213
Iceland
1
9.30        
216
Monaco                      
0
0              

Table 2 shows that Brazil has 61,283 murders per year, by far the largest amount of any country. In absolute terms, the United States is the 7th most violent country in the world, with over 17,000 murders per year. Russia’s number is nearly as high, even though its population is less than half ours.

2. Over Half of all the Murders in the World are Committed/Experienced by a Minority of Countries and People

Table 3. The 9 Countries with the Largest Absolute Numbers of Murders, Compared to their Populations
                                                                                                                                               
Country
number of homicides
rank
population
% of world
murders
rate per 100,000
rank
World
430,000
-
7.5 billion
100%
6
-
Brazil
61,283
1
207.7 million
14%    
29.5
12
India
42,678
2
1.32 billion
9.9%
3.2
119     
Mexico
24,559
3
125.5 million
5.7%
19.2
20
South Africa
19,016
4
56.7 million
4.4%
34
10
Nigeria
17,843
5
190.9 million
4.1%
9.85
47
Venezuela
!7,778
6
31.6 million
4.1%
56.33
3
United States
17,250
7
323.4 million
4%
5.35
87
Russia
15,561
8
144.3 million
3.6%
10.82
41
Colombia
12,402
9
48.7 million
2.9%
25.5
16
Total, 9 countries
218,370
           
 33% of     world’s pop-   ulation
52% of world’s murders



Table 3 indicates that the top 9 countries of the world  together account for over  half of all murders -  218,370 per year - while their collective population is 2.45 billion people, i.e. less than one third of the world.      One gains an even starker picture of the uneven distribution of murder around the world by looking at the countries which have the highest murder RATES, rather than their absolute numbers. This is done  in table 4.
                                   
Table 4.  Over Half of the World’s Murders Are Committed by the Top 47 Countries of the World, Ranked by Rates.

Country
region
absolute murders
population
per 100,000
rank, by rate
World
-
430,000
7.5 billion
6
-
El Salvador
Latin Am.
5257
6.345
82.84
1
Honduras
Latin Am.
5150
9.1
56.52
2                     
Venezuela
Latin Am.
17778
31.6
56.33
3
Jamaica
Caribbean
1354
2.9
47.01
5
Lesotho
Africa
897
2.2
41.25
6
Belize, St. Vincent, St. Kitts, Trinidad
7, 8, 9, 11
South Africa
Africa
19016
56.7
33.97
10
Brazil
Latin Am.
61283
207.7
29.53
12
Bahamas, Anguilla, Guatemala, Colombia, Montserrat, Central Afr. Rep., St. Lucia, Tuvalu
13,14,15,16,17,
18,19,21
Mexico
Latin Am.
24559
125.5
19.26
20
Puerto Rico
Latin Am.
679
3.4
18.51
22
Guyana, Swaziland, Namibia, St. Pierre, Dom. Rep., Botswana, S. Sudan, Congo, Fr. Guiana, Bermuda, Seychelles, Costa Rica, Ivory Coast, Uganda, Cape Verde
23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37
Philippines
Asia
11,385
104.9
11.02
38
Barbados, Mali
39,40
Russia
Europe
15561
144,3
10.82
41
Papua New Guinea,  Antigua,  Grenada,  Haiti,  Mauritania
42, 43, 44, 45, 46
Nigeria
Africa
17847
190.9
9.85
47
grand total

225,957 = 52.5%
of all murders 
1.043 billion = 14% of all pop.



Over half (52%) of the world’s murders are committed /suffered  in the top 47 countries, as ranked by murder rates.  While these make up one fifth of the world’s countries, their combined population is only 14% that of the world!

The remaining 172 countries together  - which make up 86% of the world’s population -  are only responsible for 48% of all murders.


In Part Two of this article, I will discuss the worldwide distribution of murder, and compare the US with other parts of the world. leave comment here

© Tom Kando 2018;All Rights Reserved