Thursday, January 23, 2014

The Bad Drives out the Good




The basic difference between my conservative friends and myself is that they all subscribe to maximum economic freedom, that is: classical liberalism. Here is a quick list of the chief “markers” of classical liberalism and American-style capitalism:

● The foundation of classical free-market economic theory was laid by Adam Smith (1723-1790).

● One metaphor used by Smith was that of the “invisible hand:” He used this image to describe the self-regulating behavior of the marketplace.

● According to classical liberal theory, the economy that works best is the economy that is left unregulated. To express this, classical liberals such as Adam Smith adopted the expression “laissez-faire” from earlier French economists with similar views.

● By the early and mid 20th century, classical liberal economics were mostly associated with the so-called Austrian school, notably Ludwig von Mises (1881-1973) and Friedrich Hayek (1899-1992). The baton was then transferred to American economist Milton Friedman (1912-2006) and his disciple Alan Greenspan (1926- ), who served as chair of the Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006.


The Global Financial Crisis that began in 2007 and caused economic problems from which we have yet to fully emerge, can be attributed to the excesses of classical liberalism that culminated under Greenspan’s watch.

Greenspan conveniently retired a year before the collapse he helped cause with his extreme laissez-faire policies and his opposition to economic regulation. I read Greenspan’s book, “The Age of Turbulence” on a flight to Europe in 2007. The book had just come out, it was a No. 1 New York Times Bestseller, it was widely praised, and summarized on the back flap as a “magnificent tour d’horizon of the global economy.” This just months before all hell broke loose! You’d think of this as a major embarrassment for Greenspan, right? But no, such people never have to apologize. They never have to admit that they were wrong, even after they cause the world to lose half of its wealth.

● In addition, during the past forty years or so, classical liberalism has walked hand in hand with neo-conservatism. This is the political movement which culminated in the George W. Bush administration, which undertook its disastrous Middle-Eastern wars and ruinous nation building programs urged on by neo-cons such as Paul Wolfowitz.

In sum, we have classical liberalism and neo-conservatism to thank for the current bankrupt garrison state, our run-away surveillance society, the polarization of wealth and retrogression on all fronts.

Now let me explain to you why classical liberal economic theory - call it laissez-faire, call it the invisible hand, call it the free market, call it the law of supply and demand - is basically wrong. This theory is good at maximizing the businessman’s profit, and terrible at improving the consumer’s quality of life. My explanation relies on the following simple axiom: THE BAD DRIVES OUT THE GOOD.

The classical liberal theory says that if you let supply and demand rule the economy, all will be for the best, because supply will automatically be determined by demand. Whatever many people WANT will be produced, because it will be lucrative to do so, and vice-versa. For example, if fewer and fewer people want to buy horse buggies, then the few horse buggies that are still around will become worthless, and no businessman in his right mind will start a horse buggy factory.

But here is where this theory goes astray: The single most significant contributor to demand is COST: the cheaper a product is, ceteris paribus, the more it will sell. 9-year old children selling lemonade at street corner stands already know this.

At the same time, other things being equal, it is more expensive to produce something good than something shoddy.

It’s quite simple, really: people buy more low-quality products because they are cheaper. Everywhere you look, you can see the bad driving out the good:

● Do people flock to McDonald, Sizzler and the Olive Garden, or to gourmet restaurants? What’s Kraft been selling to millions for over a century? Velveeta cheese, Oscar Meyer hotdogs and disgusting boxed orange-colored macaroni and cheese. Same with Chef Boyardee. Do more people shop at Whole Foods or at Safeway?

● I don’t know much about machines, but I’m sure the same principle applies.

● One thing I do know about is culture (I wrote books on it). Here, too the bad drives out the good. Why else is so much of popular music so bad? (One song is indistinguishable from another, “Oh baby, baby, don’t leave me...”).

With Hollywood, it’s a bit different: most popular are usually blockbusters like Fast and Furious, Robocop and other bad movies, whereas classics like Citizen Kane and quality foreign movies attract few people. Here, my theory fails, because blockbusters are more expensive to produce. Of course, they earn their money back through volume. Even so, the generalization that the bad drives out the good does apply, here too. Bad movies are much more popular than good movies, as are bad books, bad music and bad mass culture in general.

● It is the same with shopping. Think of Walmart’s phenomenal success. The more crap you sell, the more customers you have.

Well, you get my drift. By and large, the bad drives out the good, because it costs less to produce the bad. The businessman who produces bad stuff can sell it more cheaply and out-compete the guy who produces and sells expensive high-quality goods. You beat the competition by cutting corners in order to sell more cheaply, in other words by lowering the quality of your product. This is the natural outcome of the free market. leave comment here
© Tom Kando 2013

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

1)Taste - Most of your argument about the bad driving out the good is a matter of taste. I think bag pipe music is “good”, and banjo music is “bad”, but obviously many people think the opposite. I don’t want to go to a gourmet restaurant if I only have 20 minutes before the game starts and MacDonald’s is available. I don’t like opera no matter how cheap you make it. Taste!
2) Cost and Quality - where COST may be the most important factor, it is not the only factor in purchasing decisions. Consumers make multi-dimensional decisions that includes a QUALITY component along with other factors such as intrinsic design appeal. Otherwise, how do you explain the success of Apple and the price premium consumers are willing to pay for Apple products versus others.
3) Information – a perfect market system also has perfect information. In today’s Internet culture, Amazon review’s, Consumer Reports, YELP, Angie’s List, and other sites provide consumers with impartial reviews of products to prevent the “Bad” driving out the “Good” .
4) Auto Industry – the 1960/70’s example of the Japanese auto industry (and now Korean auto industry) producing high quality, high mileage cars at low prices is probably one of the greatest examples of the antithesis of your theory: a case where the Good drove out the Bad.

Anonymous said...

Continuing…

And another thing, your current blog entry smacks of elitism, particularly with regard to culture and WalMart. I know from your blog that you champion the Hoi Polloi, but I don’t sense that you want to associate with them. I’m a conservative and I shop at WalMart because they sell (among other things) very high quality target ammunition at very low prices and I get a kick out of the people you see and meet.

Tom Kando said...

I was hoping for such a rebuttal. Sometimes I toss out a theory as sort of a test of something provocative.

There are indeed many examples of products that are becoming better, not worse (Japanese and Korean cars, Apple products, etc.).

But the feeling that “they don’t make them like they used to any more...” is also enduring. Think of pre-1970 Volkswagens and Chevrolets, vintage musical instruments, collectors items of any sort. Many of us (older folks the most, of course), feel that some things were made better in the past. But let’s not fuss over this. I agree that we tend to romanticize the past.

On the other hand, when it comes to culture, my case is stronger. There is so now so unbelievably much crap that it is safe to say that mass culture and popular culture have deteriorated a lot. The last great flowering of culture and music was in the 60s.

You are particularly wrong when you re-state the ancient (and mistaken) Roman adage - de gustibus non disputandum (= In matters of taste, there is no right or wrong). This is patently wrong. Some music IS good, and some IS bad. Some food is good, and some is bad. Some movies are good and some are bad. This is not a matter of opinion; it is a matter of fact, same as 2 + 2 = 4.

It is also wrong for you to argue ad hominem, i.e. to personalize the argument. For your information, I am a grubby immigrant from Hungary, and I probably feel more comfortable among diverse, deviant and lower-class people than their opposite. But this is neither here nor there. Arguments should not become personalized.

Anyway, my piece is basically a provocative aphorism meant to provide an insight, not an absolute truth that applies in all cases. Same as when we quote Murphy’s Law (“if anything can go wrong, it will”) or say “ the other line moves faster,” or when George Bernard Shaw said, “those who can do, and those who can’t, teach.” Such generalizations are wrong at least half the time, but they often feel awfully right...

But I would give your well-written comments a fairly good grade.

Anonymous said...

Tom, I stand corrected, you're right about culture. I just read the following article about the Grammys on Fox News: http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2014/01/27/death-culture-in-america-grammy-award-style/

"In America we recognize grand achievements in popular culture by bestowing various awards upon artists. Sunday night at the musical Grammy Awards we honored the following triumphs in lyrical creativity reflective of our lofty artistic ideals:

From Macklemore’s "Thrift Shop":

Nah, walk up to the club like, "What up? I got a big c*ck!"
I'm so pumped about some sh*t from the thrift shop.

I'll take those flannel zebra jammies, second-hand, I rock that motherf*cker
The built-in onesie with the socks on that motherf*cker
I hit the party and they stop in that motherf*cker

From Jay-Z’s "Holy Grail":

Blue told me to remind you n*ggas
F*ck that sh*t y’all talkin' about
I'm the n*gga, caught up in all these lights and cameras

From Justin Timberlake’s "Suit & Tie":

I be on my suit and tie, sh*t tie, sh*t tie
I be on my suit and tie, sh*t tie, sh*t

So long as the National Academy of Recording Arts and Sciences is allowed to identify the apex of our musical talents, history will know that in 2014 we honored “c*cks” “motherf*ckers” and “sh*t.”"

drtaxsacto said...

What you have done here is three things. First, you've done a sloppy job of describing free market economics. As someone who has spent a lot of time trying to dissect the 2007 meltdown - the characterization that Greenspan caused it because of Lassiz faire policies is far off the mark. Things like liberal housing credit (decreed by the Community Reinvestment Act) were vigorously opposed by free market economists.

Second, you've done a poor job of describing what economists call "Gresham's Law" which is traditionally applied only to currency (bad money drives out good). It can certainly be applied to other markets but your application of the principle is absurd.

But third, you ignore a fundamental principle of markets - your tastes cannot (and should not) be substituted for others. Hayek wrote a superb paper on the "knowledge problem" which argued that no individual can understand the individual experiences and desires of others. You kind of thinking brought Germans the Trabbant.

Tom Kando said...

I thank anonymous for his sample of Grammy Awards.

As to Jonathan:
I am familiar with Gresham’s Law, but I didn’t want to muddy the water by connecting that economic theory with my point. It would be meaningless indeed to do so. What I say has nothing to do with Gresham’s monetary theory.

You don’t like the Trabant? I drove one, years ago, I thought it was cute...

Anonymous said...

”There is so now so unbelievably much crap that it is safe to say that mass culture and popular culture have deteriorated a lot.”, interesting that you should write that Tom. Aren't the Academia, Media, and Entertainment sectors of our society the primary determinants of that culture , and aren't they all essentially populated by Lefties?

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